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Jim Sparrow
Royal LePage Solutions

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#16, 11625 Elbow Drive SW,
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Why Mortgage Rates are Rising

Posted by Jim Sparrow on Thursday, June 4th, 2009 at 6:25pm.

Calgary Real EstateLast week's move by Canadian lenders to raise their longer fixed term mortgage rates sparked some interesting discussions amongst clients. I thought it would be helpful to revisit what influences mortgage rates and discuss why Canadian mortgage rates are increasing.

Mortgage Rates & Bonds

Contrary to popular opinion, mortgage rates are not tied to interest rates *at least not directly*. Mortgage rates in fact are related to bonds and their yields (rates). Bonds are what are known as debt instruments, and Canadians have roughly 30 times more invested in debt markets *mainly bonds* than they have invested in equity markets *stocks*. The yield of a bond increases as the price of the bond falls. We won't get into the many variables affecting bond prices & yields, but as bonds become less appealing to the public *and their yields rise*, longer term fixed mortgage rates also rise.

Bond Prices

The financial chaos that has swept the world has resulted in the issuance of an incredible amount of debt *primarily bonds* by governments around the world. Quantitative easing is the term used to describe US monetary policy to buy back government bonds & raise bond prices, which in turn should have lowered bond yields and kept mortgage rates at historical lows. The US Federal Reserve instituted quantitative easing in late March 2009, resulting in a large one day rise in bond prices. Unfortunately the effect was short lived, and bond prices have gone into a tailspin since then. Additionally, North Americans are worried about inflation and have started moving large cash positions into the riskier equity *stock* markets.

The net result is that even though the Bank of Canada's has left the benchmark lending rate at 0.25 per cent, long term fixed mortgage rates are on the rise.

What are your thoughts on mortgage rates? Are you planning on staying with a lower variable rate mortgage or locking into a longer fixed rate?

Listings on our site all have a handy mortgage calculator which allows you to calculate monthly payments using whatever criteria you choose.

Jim Sparrow sells Calgary Real Estate with Royal LePage Calgary & specializes in South Calgary estate and luxury homes. Visit our website Calgary Luxury Real Estate our blog Calgary Real Estate Blog or page me directly at Royal LePage Solutions 403.252.5900

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3 Responses to "Why Mortgage Rates are Rising"

Jon wrote:
I'm sticking with my variable another month or 2 & making accelerated payments on principal

Posted on Thursday, June 4th, 2009 at 10:35 PM.

Jolenta wrote:
I still think rates are attractive by historical standards and would be advising my clients to go with a fixed product if I was a lender (which I'm not). As for me personally, I'm refinancing my 15 year mortgage to a lower rate (4.5%) and planning to pay off the balance within the next few years, just not right now when the economy is so uncertain.

Posted on Friday, June 5th, 2009 at 3:34 PM.

Jim Sparrow wrote:
@Jolenta - You're absolutely correct about current rates being attractive when compared to historical. At the same time, many buyers in the market today weren't around in the early '80s to experience double digit mortgage rates, when most Canadians had better than 25% equity in their homes. Given the significant amount money governments around the world have printed to stimulate their economy's, I'd be surprised if we don't see inflation, interest & mortgage rates closing in on double digit territory within 2 years.

Posted on Friday, June 5th, 2009 at 3:52 PM.



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